5dcheckmate
0x2cd10d935c36ecc556c9e8b35e9599d82dcbab90
- Realised P&L
- $-42.19
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $183.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.963 | 0.953 | $53.34 | −$0.59 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.979 | 0.966 | $53.10 | −$0.74 |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No | 0.964 | 0.958 | $48.86 | −$0.31 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.984 | 0.984 | $28.02 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.65at 0.950Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?
- +$1.08at 0.948Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
- +$0.82at 0.945Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
- +$0.69at 0.962Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.66at 0.968Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 13:27 | Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9789999992 | $21.36 |