0x2Cc8Cc54F50DbB45fE346612821CA93B6E93262B-1780571709186
0x2cc8cc54f50dbb45fe346612821ca93b6e93262b
- Realised P&L
- $-41.8k
- Volume
- $11.84M
- Markets traded
- 401
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded401
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Albania win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.945 | $1.9k | +$9.86 |
| Will England win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.695 | $983.39 | +$21.23 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.877 | 0.885 | $660.67 | +$5.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.4kat 0.934Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
- +$8.5kat 0.949Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?
- +$6.3kat 0.979Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?
- +$6.0kat 0.940Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15?
- +$5.8kat 0.942Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-09-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 01:55 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.88 | $100.28 |
| 09-27 01:40 | Will Albania win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.94 | $673.87 |
| 09-26 17:48 | Will London City Lionesses win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.99 | $21.18 |
| 09-26 16:24 | Will San Marino win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.8k |
| 09-26 16:21 | Will San Marino win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.996 | $12.7k |
| 09-26 13:11 | Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.4k |
| 09-25 20:09 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | SELL | 0.8 | $1.3k |
| 09-25 12:03 | Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25? | SELL | 0.003 | $8.40 |
| 09-25 12:00 | Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25? | SELL | 0.013 | $3.51 |
| 09-25 11:56 | Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.97 | $304.52 |
| 09-25 05:35 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.2k |
| 09-25 03:21 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.68 | $130.56 |
| 09-24 12:50 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.47 |
| 09-23 20:18 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.999 | $1000.00 |
| 09-23 20:12 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.999 | $793.03 |