cosmid
0x2cb887d5cc567c4a27bf9137f8917e6227cd76b4
- Realised P&L
- $350.38
- Volume
- $99.4k
- Markets traded
- 292
- Open portfolio
- $621.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded292
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No | 0.948 | 0.975 | $256.99 | +$6.99 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No | 0.840 | 0.895 | $154.49 | +$9.49 |
| Will Sam Darnold have 3,949.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No | 0.630 | 0.815 | $103.49 | +$23.49 |
| Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.770 | 0.765 | $59.61 | −$0.39 |
| Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North? · No | 0.640 | 0.750 | $46.88 | +$6.88 |
| Celtics vs. Heat · Heat | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Cowboys vs. Raiders · Raiders | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Oilers · Oilers | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$78.00 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) · Chiefs | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.00 |
| Rockets vs. Kings · Rockets | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$285.00 |
| Nets vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spread: Rams (-2.5) · Rams | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.00 |
| Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latvia · Germany | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$88.00 |
| Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.00 |
| Spread: Wild (-1.5) · Wild | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$430.64at 0.713ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Sri Lanka vs Scotland
- +$426.72at 0.522T20 Series England vs India: England vs India
- +$425.74at 0.517T20 Series England vs India: England vs India
- +$424.82at 0.766ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Pakistan vs Netherlands
- +$414.55at 0.646ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 22:37 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.5999999983 | $70.00 |
| 10-14 07:13 | Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $60.00 |
| 10-14 07:13 | Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3499999919 | $13.00 |
| 10-13 19:52 | Will Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $30.00 |
| 10-13 19:41 | Tampa Bay Rays Team Total: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.804584526 | $52.00 |
| 10-12 19:03 | Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Newcastle United FC O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.7599999972 | $55.00 |
| 10-11 16:40 | Spread: Titans (-3.5) | BUY | 0.8299999999 | $127.00 |
| 10-11 16:39 | Spread: Dolphins (-3.5) | BUY | 0.8399999987 | $78.00 |
| 10-11 16:39 | Spread: Bears (-7.5) | BUY | 0.7399999953 | $25.00 |
| 10-11 16:39 | Spread: Saints (-13.5) | BUY | 0.8799999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-11 16:39 | Giants vs. Commanders: O/U 45.5 | BUY | 0.3699999997 | $61.00 |
| 10-09 22:16 | Spread: Browns (-7.5) | BUY | 0.8 | $48.00 |
| 10-07 03:59 | Chicago White Sox Team Total: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.8830837646 | $245.00 |
| 10-05 16:55 | Spread: Stars (-1.5) | BUY | 0.413137712 | $118.00 |
| 09-27 14:34 | Spread: Rams (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4799999988 | $130.00 |