Dorian12
0x2cb875f7e26bb7d74b3ce4e906d6be15eb206e79
- Realised P&L
- $-1.51
- Volume
- $27.4k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $17.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $17.92 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.26at 0.991Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on February 19?
- +$0.22at 0.978Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 24?
- +$0.02at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 7?
- +$0.00at 0.009Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 10:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.98 |
| 07-03 04:12 | Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.04 |
| 06-22 08:39 | Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.54 |
| 05-19 04:37 | Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.66 |
| 05-13 03:33 | Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $9.45 |
| 04-25 03:58 | Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.68 |
| 04-23 07:55 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 04-22 08:48 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.99 |
| 04-21 07:59 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.08 |
| 04-20 07:02 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.08 |
| 03-23 02:52 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.981 | $13.73 |
| 03-21 02:53 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.982 | $572.51 |