PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xCd734e506C4B8aD4874d170220e183CE461cc1e4-1775224880447

0x2cb4ce6fab4db7fe7bc0cdabff5486b46ebe40d5

Realised P&L
$-618.47
Volume
$24.3k
Markets traded
1,733
Open portfolio
$11.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,733
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 09:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 18?BUY0.2134965166$6.93
09-18 09:00Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.39$6.63
09-18 03:00Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 18?BUY0.2599999896$2.00
09-18 03:00Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 18?BUY0.2525$5.05
09-17 15:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 17?BUY0.3275627692$6.72
09-17 06:00Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 17?BUY0.39$6.63
09-17 03:00Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 17?BUY0.570525807$6.60
09-17 03:00Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17?BUY0.42$6.72
09-17 03:00Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 17?BUY0.2036794518$7.00
09-17 03:00Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 17?BUY0.2184240669$6.93
09-16 15:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 16?BUY0.28$7.00
09-16 09:00Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 16?BUY0.2315134318$6.82
09-16 03:00Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 16?BUY0.45$6.75
09-16 03:00Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 16?BUY0.5$6.72
09-15 03:00Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 15?BUY0.3176366322$6.72