0xCd734e506C4B8aD4874d170220e183CE461cc1e4-1775224880447
0x2cb4ce6fab4db7fe7bc0cdabff5486b46ebe40d5
- Realised P&L
- $-618.47
- Volume
- $24.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,733
- Open portfolio
- $11.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,733
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.26at 0.420Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
- +$51.89at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8PM ET
- +$42.46at 0.061Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?
- +$39.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$38.92at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2134965166 | $6.93 |
| 09-18 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.39 | $6.63 |
| 09-18 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2525 | $5.05 |
| 09-17 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.3275627692 | $6.72 |
| 09-17 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.39 | $6.63 |
| 09-17 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.570525807 | $6.60 |
| 09-17 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.42 | $6.72 |
| 09-17 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.2036794518 | $7.00 |
| 09-17 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.2184240669 | $6.93 |
| 09-16 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.28 | $7.00 |
| 09-16 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.2315134318 | $6.82 |
| 09-16 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.45 | $6.75 |
| 09-16 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.72 |
| 09-15 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.3176366322 | $6.72 |