0x2caf52ce3d5a03c7b3cbcbb1f9d66cfdfaea36f7
- Realised P&L
- $-62.78
- Volume
- $26.1k
- Markets traded
- 393
- Open portfolio
- $104.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded393
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$172.57at 0.374Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?
- +$117.34at 0.466Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$52.99at 0.125Will the US lose jobs in July?
- +$50.31at 0.692Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?
- +$49.87at 0.229Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 04:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999137 | $2.54 |
| 09-21 04:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999137 | $2.54 |
| 09-21 03:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999137 | $2.54 |
| 09-21 03:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999137 | $2.54 |
| 09-21 03:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999137 | $2.54 |
| 09-21 03:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999137 | $2.54 |
| 09-21 02:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5PM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-21 02:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-21 02:27 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.16 | $4.28 |
| 09-21 02:27 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.1862671884 | $4.99 |
| 09-21 02:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999137 | $2.54 |
| 09-21 02:15 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.16 | $4.20 |
| 09-21 02:14 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.1899999992 | $4.99 |
| 09-21 02:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999692 | $2.70 |
| 09-21 02:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999137 | $2.54 |