0x2CA
0x2cad814fb1acd284737b231c65b4f897f8a0c773
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $858.2k
- Markets traded
- 7,818
- Open portfolio
- $10.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,818
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$575.50at 0.612Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5?
- +$557.61at 0.359Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5?
- +$525.39at 0.458Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$487.78at 0.616Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 7?
- +$361.41at 0.148Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:31 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:26 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:21 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:16 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:11 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:06 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:01 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 23:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 23:51 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 23:46 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 23:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 23:31 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $165.33 |
| 09-17 23:26 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |