HotHours
0x2ca6a5867c6b72fbeac8d898ed283d6ae008b9d1
- Realised P&L
- $418.33
- Volume
- $258.7k
- Markets traded
- 4,109
- Open portfolio
- $913.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,109
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.37at 0.138Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$20.10at 0.750Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
- +$12.87at 0.950Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on May 11?
- +$12.31at 0.949Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on September 12?
- +$5.36at 0.947Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 02:19 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.993 | $19.86 |
| 09-27 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.01 |
| 09-27 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on September 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $60.00 |
| 09-27 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $27.91 |
| 09-27 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.75 |
| 09-27 02:17 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C or below on September 27? | BUY | 0.994 | $35.00 |
| 09-26 23:42 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $34.99 |
| 09-26 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.98 | $39.95 |
| 09-26 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.997 | $34.99 |
| 09-26 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on September 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $40.00 |
| 09-26 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on September 26? | BUY | 0.997 | $40.00 |
| 09-26 00:19 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on September 26? | BUY | 0.994 | $5.12 |
| 09-25 22:54 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.997 | $40.00 |
| 09-25 03:39 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $34.96 |
| 09-25 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $34.96 |