Trivial-Gratitude-Listening
0x2ca63318e529ccbe94cc8d550b8494538459a579
- Realised P&L
- $121.21
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $160.29
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.705 | $39.17 | +$9.17 |
| Kenneth Walker: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.590 | 0.755 | $38.39 | +$8.39 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.225 | $29.35 | −$0.65 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.116 | $28.17 | −$1.83 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) · Chiefs | 0.470 | 0.395 | $25.21 | −$4.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.35at 0.160Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$38.41at 0.517Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$36.37at 0.414Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?
- +$22.61at 0.590Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)
- +$14.38at 0.667Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 10:32 | Kenneth Walker: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.5899999957 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 10:25 | Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $30.00 |
| 10-20 20:50 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 10-20 20:14 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 05:49 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.0870649066 | $24.67 |
| 10-17 08:51 | Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5799999921 | $22.00 |
| 10-17 08:51 | Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 18:51 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4273385203 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 11:26 | Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) | BUY | 0.6634122301 | $28.62 |
| 09-26 11:25 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $30.00 |
| 09-26 11:20 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | SELL | 0.975 | $0.99 |
| 09-26 11:20 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.9799607997 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 09:24 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 09:33 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.5399999971 | $30.00 |
| 08-14 10:11 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |