0x2c9fb1a95546c78bc889dd81f3cdb69c48669e81
- Realised P&L
- $-3.26
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.55at 0.668Guangzhou: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Naoya Honda
- +$0.15at 0.930US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
- +$-0.55at 0.668Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Marat Sharipov
- +$-3.36at 0.191Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-3.38at 0.904Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 03:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.598 | $33.76 |
| 09-18 03:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6022447042 | $34.00 |
| 09-18 03:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5988208132 | $34.76 |
| 09-18 03:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6029999973 | $35.00 |
| 09-18 03:00 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.182 | $36.89 |
| 09-18 03:00 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1829999997 | $37.09 |
| 09-18 03:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.598 | $38.67 |
| 09-18 03:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6030995233 | $39.00 |
| 09-18 02:59 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5997955676 | $39.78 |
| 09-18 02:59 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6029999973 | $40.00 |
| 09-18 02:58 | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Marat Sharipov | SELL | 0.65 | $9.98 |
| 09-17 10:06 | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Marat Sharipov | BUY | 0.6499999902 | $9.99 |
| 09-16 11:49 | Guangzhou: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Naoya Honda | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 10:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.88 | $39.46 |
| 09-15 10:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8899999926 | $39.91 |