Initial88888
0x2c99ceaa610fdbda7e75bb87e0d92199f6edb39a
- Realised P&L
- $-38.32
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $121.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 16? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.065 | $65.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.075 | $33.75 | +$1.75 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on September 16? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.023 | $23.03 | −$29.82 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 06:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.07 | $28.00 |
| 09-16 05:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.07 | $35.00 |
| 09-16 05:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.07 | $35.00 |
| 09-16 04:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.95 |
| 09-16 04:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.039 | $3.90 |
| 09-16 04:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.0389999995 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 04:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.06 | $30.00 |