fengkuang
0x2c977271a45c404aef577e5037e1f25c774bf246
- Realised P&L
- $-52.78
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $3.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.003 | $1.56 | −$1.16 |
| Southern Miss vs. Troy · Troy | 0.790 | 0.775 | $1.55 | −$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 2? · No | 0.998 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or below on March 20? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.04at 0.810LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-In
- +$0.85at 0.780LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage
- +$0.45at 0.991Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?
- +$0.25at 0.997Will the highest temperature in New York City be 51°F or higher on November 19?
- +$0.22at 0.995Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 11:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.60 |
| 10-05 11:15 | Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.0052249314 | $2.72 |
| 10-05 10:46 | Southern Miss vs. Troy | BUY | 0.79 | $1.58 |
| 09-02 07:05 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.00 |
| 09-02 07:01 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9099999602 | $1.83 |
| 08-07 09:04 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31? | BUY | 0.9973654235 | $13.80 |
| 07-17 11:31 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999639 | $13.50 |
| 07-17 11:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 12:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $86.00 |
| 05-26 10:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $86.00 |
| 05-24 11:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $71.00 |
| 05-24 11:15 | Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.50 |
| 05-24 11:14 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999413 | $15.00 |
| 05-19 09:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $88.00 |
| 05-10 10:24 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $87.00 |