PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fengkuang

0x2c977271a45c404aef577e5037e1f25c774bf246

Realised P&L
$-52.78
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$3.11

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.0050.003$1.56−$1.16
Southern Miss vs. Troy · Troy0.7900.775$1.55−$0.03
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.50
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 2? · No0.9980.000$0.00−$55.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or below on March 20? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.40
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 11:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 5?BUY0.998$9.60
10-05 11:15Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.0052249314$2.72
10-05 10:46Southern Miss vs. TroyBUY0.79$1.58
09-02 07:05Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.999$12.00
09-02 07:01Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.9099999602$1.83
08-07 09:04Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31?BUY0.9973654235$13.80
07-17 11:31Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?BUY0.9989999639$13.50
07-17 11:27Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.00
06-02 12:39Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?BUY0.998$86.00
05-26 10:54Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?BUY0.999$86.00
05-24 11:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?BUY0.999$71.00
05-24 11:15Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?BUY0.002$1.50
05-24 11:14Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?BUY0.9979999413$15.00
05-19 09:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?BUY0.999$88.00
05-10 10:24Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?BUY0.999$87.00