PolyBot

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Traders

0x2c8e64ce30e2466b30b9146bf50b17b4373bc147

0x2c8e64ce30e2466b30b9146bf50b17b4373bc147

Realised P&L
$77.33
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$654.04

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6200.615$99.07−$0.80
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.6210.545$87.66−$12.30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.4680.599$75.52+$16.55
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7870.735$53.50−$3.77
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6300.625$45.01−$0.36
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8700.865$42.88−$0.25
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · No0.8700.865$42.88−$0.25
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.145$41.74+$21.59
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4470.425$36.96−$1.95
Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5 · Over0.5110.475$36.70−$2.82
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6400.695$34.03+$2.69
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? · No0.3640.730$22.16+$11.12
Spread: Bears (-3.5) · Bears0.4630.445$16.90−$0.70
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) · Seahawks0.5390.495$16.88−$1.51
Spread: 49ers (-7.5) · Commanders0.5100.505$2.14−$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 15:08Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6299999793$11.59
10-14 11:45Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6299999714$9.04
10-13 22:17Spread: Bears (-3.5)BUY0.4599999992$11.42
10-13 21:40Spread: Bears (-3.5)BUY0.4699999703$6.18
10-13 21:15Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.619999998$6.19
10-13 18:21Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)BUY0.5299999399$1.50
10-13 18:21Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)BUY0.5399999854$15.51
10-13 17:43Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8699999982$43.13
10-13 17:43Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8699999982$43.13
10-13 16:34Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)BUY0.5399999061$1.38
10-13 14:13Spread: 49ers (-7.5)BUY0.5099998938$2.16
10-13 09:00Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander BublikBUY0.2899999951$7.06
10-13 08:59Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander BublikBUY0.2899999928$6.07
10-13 08:27Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5BUY0.5$15.02
10-13 08:17Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Alexander Bublik (+1.5)BUY0.5499999833$13.14