gfgfdjgjdd66
0x2c8b6e56685a1bc4e42b9eb2d47de207a166690f
- Realised P&L
- $-100.47
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $5.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No | 0.997 | 0.947 | $5.68 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$240.00at 0.450Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?
- +$6.44at 0.979Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?
- +$5.48at 0.985Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
- +$4.49at 0.978Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
- +$3.74at 0.987Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 10:28 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 11:56 | Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.98 |
| 10-08 11:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 09-18 09:29 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.95 |
| 09-05 09:39 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 09:37 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $67.86 |
| 08-23 09:49 | Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 08-13 08:36 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 08-13 08:36 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 08-13 08:35 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $125.87 |
| 07-05 15:07 | Will BNB dip to $100 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 07-05 15:05 | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY | 0.9710466829 | $333.00 |
| 06-20 14:10 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.9493908234 | $200.00 |
| 06-20 14:08 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.995999998 | $136.00 |
| 06-03 10:31 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $310.00 |