0x2c8b015c0ed5655f13bdab9df99f1b2cc4ab8f6f
0x2c8b015c0ed5655f13bdab9df99f1b2cc4ab8f6f
- Realised P&L
- $8.16
- Volume
- $513.96
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $96.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.97at 0.710Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$3.14at 0.760 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$-14.95at 0.321Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 22:19 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 04-14 22:19 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 04-14 22:19 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 04-14 22:18 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 04-14 22:18 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999014 | $2.00 |
| 04-14 22:18 | Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999656 | $2.00 |
| 04-14 22:18 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8699997259 | $2.00 |
| 04-14 22:18 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 04-14 22:17 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 04-14 22:16 | Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0502462823 | $2.00 |
| 04-14 22:16 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 04-14 22:16 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1442793248 | $2.00 |
| 04-14 22:16 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 04-14 22:15 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 04-14 22:15 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |