rafigoldo
0x2c8465fd269f88f3874ce8a99cb2424c96fe3f89
- Realised P&L
- $-0.65
- Volume
- $470.11
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $190.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.00at 0.179Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$0.60at 0.773Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
- +$-0.09at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
- +$-0.73at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 22:55 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.0300754792 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 22:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | SELL | 0.15 | $0.33 |
| 10-31 22:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 16:32 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1889999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 16:32 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0232769117 | $25.00 |
| 10-31 16:31 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1182867346 | $25.00 |
| 10-30 22:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 22:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 09:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 09:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | SELL | 0.29 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 09:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 09:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 09:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 09:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | SELL | 0.93 | $3.66 |