0x2c83e8cf8b000a5547b64cbea45fca010545640f
- Realised P&L
- $-66.61
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $29.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes | 0.282 | 0.130 | $29.94 | −$35.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.74at 0.625Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
- +$8.34at 0.468Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- +$7.27at 0.489Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$7.27at 0.489Athletics vs. New York Mets
- +$4.84at 0.556Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 13:28 | Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | BUY | 0.2899999915 | $15.00 |
| 08-19 13:28 | Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | BUY | 0.2799999969 | $50.00 |
| 08-16 17:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 08-16 17:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 08-16 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 08-16 17:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 04-23 11:38 | Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-1.5) | SELL | 0.2711044776 | $90.82 |
| 04-14 18:33 | Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on April 14? | SELL | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 04-14 18:04 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles | SELL | 0.39 | $2.89 |
| 04-14 18:04 | Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers | SELL | 0.51 | $3.08 |
| 04-14 18:04 | Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves | SELL | 0.4 | $3.11 |
| 04-14 18:04 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers | SELL | 0.45 | $3.13 |
| 04-14 18:04 | Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals | SELL | 0.52 | $2.51 |
| 04-14 18:04 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.95 |
| 04-14 18:01 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |