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Traders

michellenorton

0x2c7e887ada98596efccd56ffb6357355a8b0ef3d

Realised P&L
$5.02
Volume
$12.6k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$97.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30? · Yes0.5900.730$22.73+$4.36
Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu Lions · Saitama Seibu Lions0.5900.755$20.08+$4.39
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 21-27? · No0.7700.695$19.97$2.15
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.7000.675$12.84$0.48
Will Kevin Ashe win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election? · Yes0.8000.685$12.49$2.10
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30? · No0.7300.670$9.21$0.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:02Will Chainlink hit $15 in January?BUY0.999$8.16
01-30 16:35Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.998$12.30
01-30 16:13Will XRP reach $2.80 in January?BUY0.999$7.25
01-30 12:05Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.999$27.68
01-30 11:53Will Ethena hit $0.41 in January?BUY0.999$36.03
12-30 09:25Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?BUY0.999$15.02
12-30 00:30Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.992$15.10
12-29 22:56Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?BUY0.999$9.51
12-29 19:37Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.998999987$52.27
10-30 22:19Will XRP reach $3.40 in October?BUY0.999$21.14
10-30 18:06Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$25.53
10-30 18:02Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.997$29.32
09-29 16:25Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?BUY0.998999974$12.66
09-29 05:06Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September?BUY0.999$12.78
09-29 04:52Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?BUY0.999$13.06
Trader michellenorton · PolyBot Pro