0x2c79f60bbeD7C69e85A03FC23A4FB935cd64e0AA-1776615780268
0x2c79f60bbed7c69e85a03fc23a4fb935cd64e0aa
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $111.4k
- Markets traded
- 219
- Open portfolio
- $11.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded219
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$372.01at 0.937Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
- +$249.50at 0.954Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$191.01at 0.952Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$139.36at 0.904US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?
- +$101.34at 0.400 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:24 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.9188047258 | $351.90 |
| 09-09 11:27 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $427.50 |
| 09-09 11:26 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.972 | $97.20 |
| 09-09 11:24 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $725.80 |
| 09-09 11:24 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $55.35 |
| 09-06 08:35 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | BUY | 0.975 | $4.88 |
| 09-06 08:34 | US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $265.58 |
| 09-06 08:33 | Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $47.50 |
| 09-06 08:33 | Will Efraim Filho win the Governor of Paraíba election? | BUY | 0.95 | $28.50 |
| 09-06 08:33 | Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 09-06 08:32 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.951 | $47.55 |
| 09-06 08:32 | Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30? | BUY | 0.9268 | $46.34 |
| 09-06 08:32 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 09-06 08:31 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.963 | $96.30 |
| 09-06 08:30 | Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $29.58 |