0x2c719EdA7dF78EE45Bd96cC8BEd6cEa94406a36d-1765202616519
0x2c719eda7df78ee45bd96cc8bed6cea94406a36d
- Realised P&L
- $-61.47
- Volume
- $31.9k
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $501.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$258.93at 0.051Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?
- +$137.45at 0.220US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$126.90at 0.150Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
- +$122.83at 0.574Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$92.29at 0.077Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 18:43 | LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.03 | $0.07 |
| 10-15 18:41 | LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.11 | $4.40 |
| 10-15 18:29 | LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 20:27 | Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.065 | $2.36 |
| 08-16 18:42 | Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.0028189638 | $0.14 |
| 05-12 18:42 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.091 | $20.02 |
| 05-11 20:11 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $9.61 |
| 05-11 03:21 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BUY | 0.86 | $34.40 |
| 05-08 13:46 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.357 | $35.70 |
| 05-04 16:13 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 04-30 19:53 | FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires? | SELL | 0.1 | $18.10 |
| 04-17 21:34 | Will Trump say "Pope" during TPUSA events on April 17? | BUY | 0.3 | $50.98 |
| 04-16 18:29 | Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.97 |
| 04-13 14:39 | Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.38 |
| 04-11 21:46 | US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $39.76 |