futugama
0x2c63f1f47563131e67c7a4bf294f1cc31bc00927
- Realised P&L
- $-94.83
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $5.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? · No | 0.790 | 0.907 | $4.54 | +$0.58 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.095 | $0.61 | −$0.03 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.091 | $0.46 | −$1.04 |
| Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.042 | $0.18 | −$0.82 |
| Will Elon register any party before 2027? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.033 | $0.14 | −$0.86 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.00at 0.500Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
- +$1.95at 0.610Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
- +$1.76at 0.410Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night
- +$0.86at 0.680Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
- +$0.83at 0.700Will the Vikings trade JJ McCarthy?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-11 05:10 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $5.75 |
| 11-07 14:16 | New pandemic in 2025? | SELL | 0.961 | $1.19 |
| 11-07 14:15 | Maduro out in 2025? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.24 |
| 11-07 14:13 | Will Elon register any party before 2027? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 11-07 14:12 | Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 11-07 14:12 | Will Bezos announce Washington Post sale in 2025? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.42 |
| 11-07 14:11 | One Direction reunion in 2025? | SELL | 0.902 | $1.34 |
| 11-07 14:11 | Supreme Court vacancy in 2025? | SELL | 0.94 | $2.64 |
| 11-07 14:11 | Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? | SELL | 0.972 | $2.86 |
| 08-29 16:44 | Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 08-29 16:39 | Will Aaron Rodgers retire? | SELL | 0.986 | $1.54 |
| 08-29 16:07 | Will the Vikings trade JJ McCarthy? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.82 |
| 06-01 20:51 | Zuckerberg divorce in 2025? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 06-01 20:51 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone in 2025? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.58 |
| 04-04 19:04 | Bybit insolvent in 2025? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |