PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mabbott1

0x2c5e8e40a2ca8ffa33a459ff6532502dac342de4

Realised P&L
$47.76
Volume
$14.1k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$0.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0250.035$0.65+$0.18
Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-2.5) · Universidad Central de Venezuela FC0.0300.000$0.00$17.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 03:34Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?BUY0.969$445.74
07-07 08:52UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?BUY0.964$453.08
07-07 08:51UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?SELL0.963$9.63
07-07 08:51UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?BUY0.964$9.64
06-04 06:11Spread: Northern Ireland (-2.5)BUY0.947$241.48
06-03 09:53Spread: Israel (-2.5)BUY0.952$190.39
06-03 09:52Spread: Israel (-2.5)BUY0.952$38.08
05-20 10:06WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 20?SELL0.2468923333$74.07
05-12 07:47Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-2.5)BUY0.981$647.46
05-12 06:08Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.982$647.14
05-11 10:21Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)BUY0.972$630.83
05-11 08:12Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?BUY0.943$632.62
05-09 06:54Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)BUY0.961$607.35
05-09 05:41Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?BUY0.939$570.42
05-08 02:56Spread: Petrojet SC (-2.5)BUY0.971$594.25