anonymousgecko
0x2c5d015ad737b43e9e2bb04f57d0e91b3c546128
- Realised P&L
- $-931.95
- Volume
- $23.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $201.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes | 0.181 | 0.365 | $201.83 | +$101.83 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No | 0.678 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Will Elina Svitolina Win the WTA 1000 Toronto? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$401.64at 0.598Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
- +$12.90at 0.296National Bank Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elina Svitolina
- +$-1.81at 0.070Will Ekaterina Alexandrova Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?
- +$-36.72at 0.094Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?
- +$-117.70at 0.113Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 02:05 | Will Ekaterina Alexandrova Win the WTA 1000 Toronto? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.30 |
| 08-11 02:00 | Will Elina Svitolina Win the WTA 1000 Toronto? | BUY | 0.1789999936 | $20.00 |
| 08-11 00:47 | National Bank Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elina Svitolina | SELL | 0.4 | $56.00 |
| 08-11 00:37 | National Bank Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elina Svitolina | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 08-11 00:36 | National Bank Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elina Svitolina | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 08-11 00:34 | Will Elina Svitolina Win the WTA 1000 Toronto? | BUY | 0.1789999878 | $10.00 |
| 08-11 00:32 | Will Ekaterina Alexandrova Win the WTA 1000 Toronto? | BUY | 0.0666666667 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 15:20 | Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? | SELL | 0.0263951648 | $12.01 |
| 08-03 15:20 | Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? | SELL | 0.04282 | $4.28 |
| 08-02 05:44 | Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999985 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 05:43 | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | BUY | 0.1808495537 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 19:01 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $1.0k |
| 08-01 17:57 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999991 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 17:53 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5705144835 | $400.00 |
| 07-07 19:28 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.7031994563 | $100.00 |