150Dao150000
0x2c5b111e3759d646e88e9a8606114512beeb9a41
- Realised P&L
- $11.93
- Volume
- $137.5k
- Markets traded
- 451
- Open portfolio
- $0.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded451
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.80at 0.004Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?
- +$0.80at 0.004Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?
- +$0.80at 0.004US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
- +$0.80at 0.004Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
- +$0.69at 0.003Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 23:45 | Theo James announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-14 23:45 | Will Paula Badosa be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-14 23:45 | Will Will McBride win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-14 23:45 | Will Curtis Blaydes be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 06-14 23:45 | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.05 |
| 06-14 23:44 | Will Jonah Heim win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 06-14 23:44 | Will Maxx Crosby play for Kansas City Chiefs next? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 06-14 23:44 | Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 06-14 23:44 | Will Royal Never Give Up win the LPL 2026 season? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 06-14 23:44 | Will Sonay Kartal be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 06-14 23:44 | Will Kristen Gonzalez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 06-14 23:44 | Will Tyreek Hill play for the Dallas Cowboys next? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 06-14 23:44 | Will Ruben Amorim be the next manager of SSC Napoli? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 06-14 23:44 | Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.15 |
| 06-14 23:44 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |