TheReD-01
0x2c5a67c99d3d9949223b336e6f9cd1f8cf349b2d
- Realised P&L
- $10.31
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,177
- Open portfolio
- $69.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,177
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.98at 0.032Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on May 11?
- +$26.15at 0.071Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?
- +$15.67at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C or higher on May 19?
- +$10.90at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on April 15?
- +$10.61at 0.155Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:09 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 15:44 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 14:14 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4499999212 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 12:17 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 10:12 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2926828376 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 06:44 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.89 |
| 08-04 06:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-04 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.2048779833 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 06:07 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 03:43 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.5699997435 | $2.00 |