Letitiasd
0x2c5509c7ecfbeac506e488a54b025597f8872b14
- Realised P&L
- $-122.86
- Volume
- $19.4k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $21.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.675 | $21.60 | −$0.16 |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09? · No | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$91.52 |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.82 |
| UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) · Ariane Carnelossi | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.12 |
| Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5) · BK Hacken | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.60 |
| Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$378.48at 0.500Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$357.84at 0.500Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
- +$309.69at 0.500Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$132.57at 0.500Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$130.83at 0.992Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 11:51 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.68 | $21.76 |
| 09-10 03:17 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.59 | $21.83 |
| 08-26 03:34 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28? | BUY | 0.61 | $13.66 |
| 08-17 08:34 | Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $28.60 |
| 08-10 08:05 | Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on August 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.00 |
| 08-10 08:04 | Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11? | BUY | 0.38 | $22.04 |
| 07-17 08:09 | France vs. England: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.68 | $15.64 |
| 07-07 11:37 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.66 | $21.78 |
| 06-16 11:55 | England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $12.82 |
| 06-10 12:24 | Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.997 | $57.83 |
| 06-10 12:24 | Will the price of Solana be less than $20 on June 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 06-10 12:23 | Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.12 |
| 06-06 09:29 | UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.25 | $18.13 |
| 05-23 03:27 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy? | SELL | 0.998 | $699.30 |
| 05-23 03:27 | Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.998 | $25.59 |