0x2c549cEF0Deb7189368C48EE5B77057390627e41-1765184708206
0x2c549cef0deb7189368c48ee5b77057390627e41
- Realised P&L
- $-7.7k
- Volume
- $867.0k
- Markets traded
- 887
- Open portfolio
- $1.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded887
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Serbia win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.001 | $0.98 | −$166.02 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04? · No | 0.120 | 0.001 | $0.59 | −$141.41 |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-04? · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$134.40 |
| Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-03-01? · Yes | 0.344 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.00 |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-30? · No | 0.358 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$287.00 |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07? · Yes | 0.513 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$126.00 |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-24? · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$710.00 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$650.00 |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.716 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$436.00 |
| Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-02-14? · No | 0.604 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Rockets vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.583 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$857.00 |
| Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-05-16? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-08-24? · No | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-06-06? · No | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$343.15 |
| Will Racing Club win on 2026-02-14? · No | 0.531 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$800.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.137Will AZ win on 2026-09-11?
- +$2.3kat 0.570Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?
- +$2.0kat 0.370Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-03?
- +$2.0kat 0.346Will FC Groningen win on 2026-03-07?
- +$2.0kat 0.380Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 20:21 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $142.00 |
| 10-04 19:54 | Will Serbia win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.0849309821 | $167.00 |
| 09-20 22:33 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.2999999999 | $275.00 |
| 09-20 19:38 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.32 | $242.00 |
| 09-20 19:15 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4399999994 | $301.00 |
| 09-20 14:56 | Will NEC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5899999996 | $383.45 |
| 09-20 09:57 | Feyenoord Rotterdam leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.5862658081 | $229.80 |
| 09-19 16:50 | Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.3899999998 | $279.52 |
| 09-19 14:48 | Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.4798502636 | $415.00 |
| 09-18 20:12 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.3699999999 | $307.00 |
| 09-18 20:12 | FC Groningen leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.9932518028 | $406.33 |
| 09-18 19:03 | Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.64 | $398.39 |
| 09-18 19:02 | FC Groningen leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.9907539661 | $405.31 |
| 09-18 18:06 | FC Groningen leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.4639685672 | $379.61 |
| 09-16 20:25 | Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3499999999 | $429.00 |