0x2c5147175936E37A37fDdD0ac7DBc228348aB376-1775571387826
0x2c5147175936e37a37fddd0ac7dbc228348ab376
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $135.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $605.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.004 | $605.61 | −$1.3k |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Khamzat Chimaev | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.07at 0.956Human moon landing in 2026?
- +$-0.85at 0.530OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
- +$-1.65at 0.260Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
- +$-1.71at 0.670Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?
- +$-4.71at 0.170Trump out as President before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 08:07 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0069999953 | $1.50 |
| 06-25 08:57 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.34 |
| 05-16 11:59 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.014 | $9.18 |
| 05-16 11:44 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.014 | $11.90 |
| 05-10 04:26 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.479999988 | $8.00 |
| 05-05 17:50 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.014 | $3.85 |
| 05-02 06:41 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.015 | $75.00 |
| 04-30 10:57 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.015 | $15.00 |
| 04-28 17:57 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.015 | $150.00 |
| 04-28 15:28 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0179999995 | $35.00 |
| 04-28 13:53 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0194590387 | $50.00 |
| 04-28 13:52 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.98 |
| 04-28 13:49 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0139999995 | $30.00 |
| 04-14 21:33 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0120000001 | $1.46 |
| 04-14 21:33 | OpenAI acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.0334273632 | $1.34 |