PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2c4fa7DCAfbBB6a34CeB2827Ea69ABEbfea20307-1764442150620

0x2c4fa7dcafbbb6a34ceb2827ea69abebfea20307

Realised P&L
$-5.30
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
372
Open portfolio
$18.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded372
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-21 05:51Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?SELL0.0111632653$0.14
05-21 05:51Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.04$0.10
05-19 20:58Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL0.83$1.43
05-14 06:39Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.4$1.00
05-14 06:36Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?SELL0.21$0.72
05-12 20:44Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETSELL0.01$0.17
05-12 20:42Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.6022430668$5.00
05-12 20:42Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.599999976$5.00
05-11 22:59Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.32$1.00
05-11 22:58Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETSELL0.87$1.33
05-11 22:57Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.65$1.00
05-10 21:46Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.8$1.00
05-10 18:16Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?SELL0.14$0.71
05-10 08:54Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETSELL0.06$0.19
05-10 08:52Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.3099998295$1.00