0x2c4fa7DCAfbBB6a34CeB2827Ea69ABEbfea20307-1764442150620
0x2c4fa7dcafbbb6a34ceb2827ea69abebfea20307
- Realised P&L
- $-5.30
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 372
- Open portfolio
- $18.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded372
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.50at 0.200Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$21.48at 0.543Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$15.43at 0.280Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
- +$13.38at 0.130Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$13.22at 0.050Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-21 05:51 | Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? | SELL | 0.0111632653 | $0.14 |
| 05-21 05:51 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.10 |
| 05-19 20:58 | Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.43 |
| 05-14 06:39 | Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 06:36 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.72 |
| 05-12 20:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.17 |
| 05-12 20:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6022430668 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 20:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 22:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 22:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | SELL | 0.87 | $1.33 |
| 05-11 22:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 21:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 18:16 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.71 |
| 05-10 08:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $0.19 |
| 05-10 08:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |