senyavow
0x2c4f776202893bcf4a9e41d552d7b028aa0e9f58
- Realised P&L
- $9.83
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $110.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.945 | $56.05 | +$0.30 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.972 | 0.973 | $54.18 | +$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.35at 0.949Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?
- +$1.00at 0.930Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
- +$1.00at 0.930Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
- +$0.85at 0.961Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?
- +$0.82at 0.952Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 07:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April? | BUY | 0.967 | $19.29 |