OGUR
0x2c4e99fc94a89efab46ce3909a52d11573d49e0b
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $32.2k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $922.00
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$545.10at 0.386Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?
- +$257.46at 0.180Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
- +$103.78at 0.217Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
- +$100.35at 0.330Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?
- +$94.30at 0.266Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 07:38 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.3599999126 | $2.47 |
| 07-21 17:22 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.8499999983 | $50.00 |
| 07-21 17:22 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $50.00 |
| 07-21 17:19 | Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.2318820752 | $6.30 |
| 07-21 17:18 | Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0889999889 | $7.00 |
| 07-21 17:18 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 17:17 | Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.081999986 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 17:17 | Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0809999839 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 17:17 | Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.077587898 | $30.00 |
| 07-21 17:16 | Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.2 | $120.00 |
| 07-20 23:07 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.77 |
| 07-20 23:06 | Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.062 | $2.19 |
| 07-20 22:57 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4399999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 22:33 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3714868153 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 17:35 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |