PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x2c31a9dad2314a3e4756895f8b176593add6a9bf

0x2c31a9dad2314a3e4756895f8b176593add6a9bf

Realised P&L
$-17.23
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
125
Open portfolio
$34.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded125
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.6061.000$8.25+$3.25
Will Brandon Nakashima Win ATP Montreal · No0.6651.000$7.52+$2.52
Spread: Rams (-8.5) · Broncos0.8001.000$6.25+$1.25
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.855$5.62+$0.62
Will Houston have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · U 8.50.5200.515$4.95−$0.05
Will Jayden Reed have 649.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.0000.190$1.79+$1.79
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2850.004$0.14−$9.86
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz · Carlos Alcaraz0.7300.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 00:10Spread: Rams (-8.5)BUY0.8$5.00
09-09 03:18US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazBUY0.7299999679$5.00
09-01 04:25Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2399999674$5.00
08-26 21:52Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3499999615$5.00
08-25 01:16Will Jayden Reed have 649.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.529999965$5.00
08-18 07:22Will Naoya Kihara win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?BUY0.1019999834$5.00
08-14 03:59Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.6059999583$5.00
08-13 05:31Will Brandon Nakashima Win ATP MontrealBUY0.6649999993$5.00
08-09 22:46US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7599999696$5.00
08-09 07:49Will Houston have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?BUY0.5199999834$5.00
08-01 21:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.06$2.14
08-01 21:22China x Philippines military clash before 2027?SELL0.27$4.82
08-01 21:22US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?SELL0.91$4.94
08-01 21:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.52$5.10
08-01 21:21Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?SELL0.97$5.27