0x2c3057ac3adf0428e4c42903488ecb1da74ba4e3
0x2c3057ac3adf0428e4c42903488ecb1da74ba4e3
- Realised P&L
- $-89.43
- Volume
- $638.87
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $3.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · No | 0.771 | 0.999 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.800 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.175 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26? · No | 0.350 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.57at 0.402Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
- +$4.81at 0.306Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5
- +$4.28at 0.699S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?
- +$3.72at 0.218Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?
- +$3.32at 0.235Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 08:33 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7709999175 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 00:31 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 03:23 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 19:12 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 28? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 23:11 | Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 14:59 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of October 26 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 06:03 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 20:53 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 12:28 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 04:26 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 20:17 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 12:08 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 03:03 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 18:57 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 10:56 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |