augd
0x2c30375f81cdc047a0a1d602c2538395dabc37b7
- Realised P&L
- $-167.73
- Volume
- $139.4k
- Markets traded
- 498
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded498
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No | 0.951 | 0.962 | $3.0k | +$34.23 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.945 | $1.0k | +$27.17 |
| GTA VI released by November 30? · Yes | 0.978 | 0.966 | $493.87 | −$6.13 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.715 | $220.00 | +$20.00 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.952 | 0.967 | $101.58 | +$1.58 |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.050 | $25.00 | −$75.00 |
| Will Solana reach $110 in October? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October? · No | 0.903 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.308Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
- +$210.89at 0.827Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
- +$165.15at 0.888Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 1?
- +$147.53at 0.940Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?
- +$139.65at 0.878Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 11:03 | Will Solana dip to $90 in October? | BUY | 0.919999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 11:03 | Will Solana dip to $90 in October? | BUY | 0.9125182613 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 11:03 | Will Solana dip to $100 in October? | BUY | 0.5291729026 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 11:02 | Will Solana reach $110 in October? | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 06:04 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 06:02 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.952 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 06:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $500.00 |
| 10-21 06:01 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8 | $200.00 |
| 10-21 06:01 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $800.00 |
| 10-21 06:01 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $200.00 |
| 10-21 06:00 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $200.00 |
| 10-21 06:00 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.9702370266 | $1000.00 |
| 10-17 04:10 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October? | BUY | 0.902777777 | $50.00 |
| 10-17 04:09 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $50.00 |
| 10-17 04:03 | GTA VI released by November 30? | BUY | 0.9779999995 | $500.00 |