completedegen
0x2c2b4400ca85ee3aba5caf2a8b5b7b73cef9e55d
- Realised P&L
- $339.11
- Volume
- $206.3k
- Markets traded
- 916
- Open portfolio
- $10.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded916
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$163.96at 0.196Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$155.75at 0.746Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?
- +$128.57at 0.700Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
- +$120.72at 0.751US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$107.42at 0.843Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 19:00 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.9199999993 | $312.99 |
| 10-15 18:57 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.9599999986 | $220.00 |
| 10-15 18:56 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $600.00 |
| 10-15 18:55 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | BUY | 0.987 | $12.91 |
| 10-15 18:41 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999991 | $600.00 |
| 10-15 18:38 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $300.00 |
| 10-15 18:38 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999978 | $294.00 |
| 10-15 18:38 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.61 |
| 10-15 18:37 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999987 | $300.00 |
| 10-15 18:31 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $600.00 |
| 10-15 18:25 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | BUY | 0.8999999686 | $22.96 |
| 10-15 18:25 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | BUY | 0.898999987 | $4.49 |
| 10-15 18:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 18:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? | BUY | 0.99 | $414.17 |
| 10-15 18:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? | BUY | 0.989 | $98.90 |