PolyBot

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Traders

completedegen

0x2c2b4400ca85ee3aba5caf2a8b5b7b73cef9e55d

Realised P&L
$339.11
Volume
$206.3k
Markets traded
916
Open portfolio
$10.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded916
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17? · Yes0.9520.962$742.72+$7.58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? · No0.9880.988$612.92+$0.01
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 15? · No0.9740.995$609.00+$12.83
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? · No0.9900.983$608.83−$4.23
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 17, 2026? · No0.9850.999$602.92+$8.18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? · No0.9940.992$598.49−$1.51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? · No0.9940.986$594.87−$5.13
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.9500.935$590.53−$9.47
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · No0.9430.968$590.17+$15.00
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by October 15? · No0.9790.961$585.78−$11.36
Iran leadership change by October 31? · No0.9850.970$584.63−$9.49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October? · No0.9840.976$451.88−$3.84
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · No0.9200.925$314.69+$1.70
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.9570.974$305.17+$5.17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.9300.945$304.84+$4.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 19:00Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.9199999993$312.99
10-15 18:57Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.9599999986$220.00
10-15 18:56Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?BUY0.988$600.00
10-15 18:55Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?BUY0.987$12.91
10-15 18:41NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9499999991$600.00
10-15 18:38US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.9099999999$300.00
10-15 18:38Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8599999978$294.00
10-15 18:38Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.85$5.61
10-15 18:37Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999987$300.00
10-15 18:31Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?BUY0.994$600.00
10-15 18:25Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?BUY0.8999999686$22.96
10-15 18:25Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?BUY0.898999987$4.49
10-15 18:08Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?BUY0.99$100.00
10-15 18:08Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?BUY0.99$414.17
10-15 18:08Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?BUY0.989$98.90