0x2C189425F3AE6f5826614eCD145624C2Abf7ED3B-1768452261746
0x2c189425f3ae6f5826614ecd145624c2abf7ed3b
- Realised P&L
- $-310.44
- Volume
- $18.2k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $15.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.88at 0.020NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics
- +$45.35at 0.830Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?
- +$23.86at 0.914Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
- +$14.85at 0.927Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
- +$14.10at 0.780Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 09:58 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? | BUY | 0.9299999975 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 08:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $18.00 |
| 09-14 07:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.21 | $19.27 |
| 09-03 14:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5999999978 | $55.07 |
| 09-01 10:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.42 | $57.74 |
| 08-29 09:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5799999996 | $79.74 |
| 08-29 09:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.984 | $81.53 |
| 08-26 12:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8809999963 | $73.00 |
| 08-25 03:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.555 | $75.92 |
| 08-21 23:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7159999989 | $97.95 |
| 08-20 00:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.778 | $98.41 |
| 08-14 09:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9 | $284.58 |
| 07-31 08:26 | Ethereal FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.912 | $0.92 |
| 07-31 08:26 | Makina FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.93 |
| 07-31 08:26 | GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.12 |