PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2C189425F3AE6f5826614eCD145624C2Abf7ED3B-1768452261746

0x2c189425f3ae6f5826614ecd145624c2abf7ed3b

Realised P&L
$-310.44
Volume
$18.2k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$15.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? · No0.9300.941$15.17+$0.17
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No0.6700.000$0.00−$18.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$1.00
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00−$1.00
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.8900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in March? · No0.9100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 26? · Yes0.1360.000$0.00−$2.00
James Comey arrested by April 28? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$2.80
Will Avengers: Doomsday Trailer get less than 30 million views on Day 1? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$0.20
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No0.9000.000$0.00−$284.58
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · No0.7780.000$0.00−$98.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 09:58Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?BUY0.9299999975$15.00
09-20 08:49Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.6699999911$18.00
09-14 07:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.21$19.27
09-03 14:04Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5999999978$55.07
09-01 10:12Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.42$57.74
08-29 09:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5799999996$79.74
08-29 09:09Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.984$81.53
08-26 12:52Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.8809999963$73.00
08-25 03:17Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.555$75.92
08-21 23:21Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.7159999989$97.95
08-20 00:35Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?BUY0.778$98.41
08-14 09:59Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?BUY0.9$284.58
07-31 08:26Ethereal FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.912$0.92
07-31 08:26Makina FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.92$0.93
07-31 08:26GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.94$1.12