MsxK
0x2c14d99014623f6936c113a09e683c307eb841a8
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $534.7k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $437.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on September 19? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $437.63 | −$1.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$529.42at 0.955Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$431.55at 0.976Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$385.40at 0.989Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
- +$251.30at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 15?
- +$229.34at 0.945Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:26 | Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on September 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $137.22 |
| 09-15 12:25 | Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9987791906 | $439.07 |
| 07-14 15:25 | Spread: Spain (-3.5) | BUY | 0.992 | $565.89 |
| 06-23 00:01 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.868 | $40.7k |
| 06-21 16:50 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.855 | $4.1k |
| 06-21 16:34 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.856 | $2.0k |
| 06-20 05:03 | Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $192.25 |
| 06-20 03:16 | Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.96 | $149.60 |
| 06-20 01:04 | Will Haiti reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.99 | $44.65 |
| 06-18 15:22 | Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.96 | $11.22 |
| 06-17 07:10 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.851409278 | $15.7k |
| 06-17 07:09 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.8559007976 | $13.6k |
| 06-17 07:03 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.861 | $6.9k |
| 06-17 02:48 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.859 | $12.42 |
| 06-13 12:25 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | BUY | 0.988 | $92.86 |