motist
0x2c0e6884aa866922392c988a2cae3332730f524c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $553.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,986
- Open portfolio
- $140.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,986
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.070Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?
- +$1.0kat 0.154Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?
- +$782.47at 0.018Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 4?
- +$588.47at 0.240Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?
- +$511.87at 0.042Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 09:54 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 21? | SELL | 0.651 | $2.12 |
| 09-21 09:09 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 22? | BUY | 0.1729999959 | $2.30 |
| 09-21 09:09 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 22? | BUY | 0.1399999951 | $2.30 |
| 09-21 09:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 22? | BUY | 0.0539999996 | $4.50 |
| 09-21 09:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 22? | BUY | 0.1789999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 09:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 22? | BUY | 0.054 | $27.00 |
| 09-21 09:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 22? | BUY | 0.1372548998 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 09:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 22? | BUY | 0.0239999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 08:54 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 21? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.83 |
| 09-21 08:52 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 21? | SELL | 0.502 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 21? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 23? | BUY | 0.0139999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21? | BUY | 0.0389999995 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 21? | SELL | 0.441 | $2.21 |