TenBellyDoyle
0x2c082ca6c395a027f6ea30a1a870cb0e7d453704
- Realised P&L
- $3.1k
- Volume
- $755.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,736
- Open portfolio
- $902.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,736
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Albania win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.979 | 0.969 | $395.60 | −$4.40 |
| Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? · No | 0.993 | 0.988 | $198.89 | −$1.11 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.910 | 0.969 | $106.43 | +$6.43 |
| Human moon landing in 2026? · No | 0.970 | 0.984 | $101.39 | +$1.39 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.980 | 0.987 | $100.66 | +$0.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.110Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
- +$729.21at 0.791Hawks vs. Knicks
- +$717.11at 0.795Thunder vs. Suns
- +$650.42at 0.337Spurs vs. Nuggets
- +$610.52at 0.899Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 10:39 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | SELL | 0.999 | $308.96 |
| 10-05 10:25 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BUY | 0.97 | $300.00 |
| 10-05 09:28 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tianhui Zhang | BUY | 0.9906521536 | $200.00 |
| 10-05 09:26 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tianhui Zhang | BUY | 0.995 | $300.00 |
| 10-04 22:50 | Chargers vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.9894261327 | $300.00 |
| 10-04 22:24 | Chargers vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.9919999987 | $400.00 |
| 10-04 21:52 | Antofagasta: Anders Matta vs Thiago Cigarran | BUY | 0.9969438022 | $400.00 |
| 10-04 21:13 | Antofagasta: Anders Matta vs Thiago Cigarran | BUY | 0.9783640633 | $200.00 |
| 10-04 21:10 | Antofagasta: Anders Matta vs Thiago Cigarran | BUY | 0.9687481255 | $500.00 |
| 10-04 20:30 | Will Wales win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.9989750256 | $200.00 |
| 10-04 19:46 | Jets vs. Bears | BUY | 0.997 | $200.00 |
| 10-04 19:16 | Jets vs. Bears | BUY | 0.988 | $400.00 |
| 10-04 18:51 | Titans vs. Ravens | SELL | 0.981 | $417.44 |
| 10-04 17:09 | Titans vs. Ravens | BUY | 0.94 | $400.00 |
| 10-04 16:21 | Colts vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.997 | $200.00 |