zikit2
0x2c05eef3c27b2d9b399675bc28cb198afbd54a54
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $151.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $263.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by October 31? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.032 | $139.22 | −$160.78 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.004 | $122.69 | −$692.29 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.006 | $1.20 | −$0.80 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.168 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.590Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$1.6kat 0.410Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$-1.7kat 0.016Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 22:01 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | BUY | 0.06895424 | $300.00 |
| 09-13 21:59 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.0298929923 | $815.00 |
| 03-01 09:55 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.8k |
| 02-28 08:24 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1676073783 | $500.00 |
| 02-28 08:23 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.0550999578 | $1000.00 |