simplythenextone
0x2c033798e002158361fa1e6c344acb4828320d7e
- Realised P&L
- $554.32
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $227.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$387.08at 0.469Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$73.27at 0.722Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
- +$25.00at 0.772Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
- +$19.75at 0.831Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?
- +$19.70at 0.912Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 16:33 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP? | BUY | 0.22 | $3.96 |
| 10-26 04:43 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | SELL | 0.994 | $34.79 |
| 10-26 00:18 | Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.11 |
| 10-25 23:49 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 10-25 23:47 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | SELL | 0.982 | $9.82 |
| 10-25 23:43 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 10-25 23:40 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.9 | $22.50 |
| 10-25 23:00 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 10-25 22:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 10-25 22:48 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 22:47 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.7034344781 | $35.71 |
| 10-25 22:43 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.7738141298 | $50.00 |
| 10-25 22:32 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 22:23 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | SELL | 0.803010687 | $52.60 |
| 10-25 22:10 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.725826 | $72.58 |