BrazilianEconomist
0x2c013a6829c4efa334f945aa44757f47342795c3
- Realised P&L
- $-167.15
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $0.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.019 | $0.86 | −$20.35 |
| Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30? · No | 0.858 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.42at 0.702Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?
- +$84.12at 0.788Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
- +$9.65at 0.912Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
- +$1.88at 0.680Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$1.10at 0.953Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-22 06:35 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6799998844 | $4.00 |
| 04-22 03:43 | Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30? | BUY | 0.858493731 | $350.00 |
| 04-22 03:37 | Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $354.42 |
| 04-13 12:50 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.89 | $30.65 |
| 04-13 12:49 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.7500893744 | $30.21 |
| 03-31 14:33 | Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26? | BUY | 0.8599999656 | $2.00 |
| 03-31 14:32 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8495752124 | $100.00 |
| 03-31 14:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.974 | $51.10 |
| 03-31 14:31 | Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting? | SELL | 0.952 | $50.80 |
| 03-26 17:25 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7692603266 | $52.00 |
| 03-24 20:16 | Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26? | BUY | 0.7598968204 | $110.00 |
| 03-21 06:19 | Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26? | BUY | 0.6657746833 | $99.00 |
| 03-21 06:14 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.732673266 | $100.00 |
| 03-21 04:52 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | BUY | 0.48 | $21.21 |
| 03-21 04:35 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24? | BUY | 0.9119746221 | $100.00 |