qingfenglilili
0x2c003ba82d2861c891e3dccf98add5a014cf073d
- Realised P&L
- $-312.58
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 193
- Open portfolio
- $125.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded193
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 16? · No | 0.995 | 0.987 | $125.92 | −$1.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10? · No | 0.987 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$107.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.64at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 15?
- +$6.13at 0.765Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
- +$6.05at 0.944Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 13?
- +$4.77at 0.943Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 28?
- +$4.39at 0.928Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 05:46 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.9954669938 | $127.00 |
| 10-12 05:46 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.9963722594 | $101.00 |
| 10-12 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.9963178086 | $25.00 |
| 10-09 05:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.996 | $126.00 |
| 10-07 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9967659058 | $126.00 |
| 10-04 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.9959395211 | $125.00 |
| 09-29 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on September 30? | BUY | 0.9980454633 | $125.00 |
| 09-26 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.998505134 | $125.00 |
| 09-23 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $124.00 |
| 09-21 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or below on September 22? | BUY | 0.9968070693 | $124.00 |
| 09-19 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9973595168 | $124.00 |
| 09-18 01:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.983743294 | $122.00 |
| 09-15 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9933533318 | $121.00 |
| 09-13 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.9956833912 | $121.00 |
| 09-10 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on September 11? | BUY | 0.99 | $119.00 |