tealemma
0x2bfeb512a5be3bbd5886aa3bac930c7c8e2d0cd8
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $9.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar17.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees · Boston Red Sox | 0.410 | 0.480 | $9.60 | +$1.40 |
| Mavericks vs. Clippers · Clippers | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$345.00 |
| Pistons vs. Heat · Heat | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$294.00 |
| Nuggets vs. Suns · Suns | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$181.30 |
| Senators vs. Canadiens · Canadiens | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$112.20 |
| XRP Up or Down on January 13? · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Stars vs. Devils · Devils | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$119.34 |
| Sabres vs. Bruins · Bruins | 0.518 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.20 |
| Bruins vs. Red Wings · Bruins | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$208.80 |
| Oilers vs. Kraken · Kraken | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$311.96 |
| Stars vs. Rangers · Stars | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$378.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$655.96at 0.380Maple Leafs vs. Panthers
- +$545.10at 0.310Suns vs. Lakers
- +$420.00at 0.250Bucks vs. Wizards
- +$413.00at 0.300Clippers vs. Hawks
- +$403.20at 0.370Bulls vs. Pacers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 07:39 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 07-03 03:00 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 06-02 07:20 | Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.49 | $10.14 |
| 04-24 05:15 | Sabres vs. Bruins | BUY | 0.51 | $9.90 |
| 02-08 13:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.50 |
| 01-12 11:53 | XRP Up or Down on January 13? | BUY | 0.5 | $7.50 |
| 12-02 14:17 | Heat vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.41 | $180.40 |
| 12-02 13:41 | Pistons vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.36 | $194.40 |
| 12-02 13:17 | Clippers vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.3 | $177.00 |
| 12-01 14:31 | Maple Leafs vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.38 | $402.04 |
| 12-01 13:40 | Senators vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.51 | $112.20 |
| 12-01 13:17 | Bruins vs. Red Wings | BUY | 0.36 | $208.80 |
| 12-01 12:27 | Stars vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.54 | $48.30 |
| 11-30 14:01 | Suns vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.31 | $244.90 |
| 11-30 12:35 | Bucks vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.25 | $140.00 |