0x2bFd3738d0298174DFA80a1202f8156fa739C4cD-1781251227849
0x2bfd3738d0298174dfa80a1202f8156fa739c4cd
- Realised P&L
- $857.21
- Volume
- $80.9k
- Markets traded
- 4,579
- Open portfolio
- $486.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded4,579
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$130.46at 0.071Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 12?
- +$126.62at 0.098Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 13?
- +$101.92at 0.535Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 21?
- +$86.31at 0.402Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 15?
- +$72.18at 0.449Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:17 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.36 |
| 11-02 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.71 |
| 11-02 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.91 | $15.72 |
| 11-02 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.76 | $5.11 |
| 11-02 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.94 |
| 11-02 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 11-02 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.87 | $11.91 |
| 11-02 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.79 | $4.57 |
| 11-02 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.22 |
| 11-02 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.12 |
| 11-02 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9494663821 | $17.79 |
| 11-02 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.8713183594 | $17.84 |
| 11-02 02:48 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.92 | $10.16 |
| 11-02 02:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.76 | $11.86 |
| 11-02 02:38 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.47 | $3.58 |