PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TradingBotDF49

0x2bfbc59d9cf7d4ef6b32d800c9a56ea898845c9e

Realised P&L
$-174.20
Volume
$20.6k
Markets traded
172
Open portfolio
$64.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded172
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration89.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.4380.830$25.73+$12.16
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026? · No0.7100.875$8.75+$1.65
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.3200.870$6.09+$3.85
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · No0.2400.745$5.22+$3.54
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.0700.076$4.71+$0.37
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0700.034$2.96$3.13
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? · Yes0.4690.175$2.80$4.70
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027? · Yes0.1800.055$1.81$4.12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · Yes0.4470.345$1.73$0.51
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · No0.3640.235$0.99$0.55
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.0850.018$0.78$3.01
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026? · Yes0.2800.125$0.68$0.84
Fed abolished before 2027? · Yes0.0570.017$0.66$1.62
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.035$0.45$2.45
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.2200.046$0.41$1.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 08:32Fed abolished before 2027?BUY0.057$2.28
08-25 23:44Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?SELL0.045$1.80
08-25 23:09Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.05055$2.02
07-15 20:48Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.189$1.13
07-15 20:48Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.201$1.21
07-15 20:48Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.192$1.15
07-15 20:48Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.206$1.24
07-15 20:20Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.114$1.60
07-14 20:30Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.07$1.47
07-14 20:26Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.07$1.47
07-14 20:26Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.07$1.47
07-14 19:20Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.273$1.37
07-14 19:19Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.32$1.60
07-12 21:36Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.25$1.50
07-12 21:35Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.25$1.50