ichibancho
0x2bfaf4fccc1546667e99ddd0ca6e1af48ac52f31
- Realised P&L
- $-29.5k
- Volume
- $135.5k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $8.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-21.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.298 | 0.065 | $8.4k | −$30.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.679US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$-500.00at 0.248US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 09:51 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $340.00 |
| 09-03 01:44 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $300.00 |
| 09-02 07:53 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $280.00 |
| 08-29 13:46 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $210.00 |
| 08-27 10:33 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999996 | $284.00 |
| 08-27 05:53 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999999 | $1000.00 |
| 08-27 05:31 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $174.29 |
| 08-22 06:06 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999996 | $400.00 |
| 08-21 16:38 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999999 | $1.2k |
| 08-20 06:32 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2264354974 | $500.00 |
| 08-11 16:33 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999997 | $500.00 |
| 08-11 16:31 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999999 | $3.0k |
| 08-05 08:06 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.167281672 | $160.00 |
| 08-04 20:22 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $500.00 |
| 07-31 07:31 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3193967235 | $500.00 |