0x2Bf3a90e87b36D249a82b9FB3c52E5f9F148B8C3-1780337840464
0x2bf3a90e87b36d249a82b9fb3c52e5f9f148b8c3
- Realised P&L
- $-21.38
- Volume
- $326.10
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $19.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.208 | $19.66 | −$30.34 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 2? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Up | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET · Down | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.89at 0.352Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?
- +$11.71at 0.462Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 2?
- +$4.06at 0.365Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 08:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.299999955 | $4.00 |
| 06-02 08:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 08:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 08:09 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 2? | SELL | 0.5217522124 | $14.74 |
| 06-02 08:05 | Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.5303288112 | $50.00 |
| 06-02 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 2? | SELL | 0.99 | $22.00 |
| 06-02 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2? | SELL | 0.997 | $29.22 |
| 06-01 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 2? | BUY | 0.2799999515 | $3.00 |
| 06-01 18:54 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 2? | BUY | 0.3539721287 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 2? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 18:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2? | BUY | 0.3411305901 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 18:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2? | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |