998991
0x2bf264f4a87d7e294f47b1dfd3dd9cb73a3d15bb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $242.9k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in November? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.145 | $752.55 | +$233.55 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in November? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.053 | $179.06 | +$12.06 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.215 | $96.94 | +$29.31 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$256.16 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$597.98 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$247.94 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.096Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
- +$28.39at 0.206Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?
- +$-5.94at 0.067Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?
- +$-19.93at 0.240Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$-29.35at 0.147Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 06:46 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November? | BUY | 0.15 | $67.63 |
| 11-02 06:45 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in November? | BUY | 0.0498963251 | $167.00 |
| 11-02 06:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in November? | BUY | 0.1 | $42.40 |
| 11-02 06:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in November? | BUY | 0.1 | $476.60 |
| 10-28 08:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.12 |
| 10-27 13:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October? | SELL | 0.0221261452 | $138.92 |
| 10-27 13:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October? | SELL | 0.0255097087 | $5.25 |
| 10-27 13:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0923342339 | $145.59 |
| 10-27 13:02 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0940700744 | $558.45 |
| 10-27 13:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1064841294 | $17.14 |
| 10-27 04:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199953351 | $920.88 |
| 10-26 01:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October? | BUY | 0.0319836533 | $207.40 |
| 10-25 20:53 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0900392374 | $229.47 |
| 10-25 20:52 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.098 | $4.90 |
| 10-25 09:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1208075872 | $313.93 |