0x2Bf1cd20E94AF598902acFdc9716C20B7b4C6316-1772635427412
0x2bf1cd20e94af598902acfdc9716c20b7b4c6316
- Realised P&L
- $-36.07
- Volume
- $206.10
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $1.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Julien LeBlanc vs. Nick Galanti (Middleweight, Prelims) · Julien LeBlanc | 0.170 | 0.155 | $1.18 | −$0.11 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Up | 0.242 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card) · Michael Johnson | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET · Down | 0.486 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.18at 0.208UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$3.36at 0.602UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
- +$0.90at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
- +$-1.00at 0.124Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
- +$-1.00at 0.385Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 08:35 | UFC Fight Night: Julien LeBlanc vs. Nick Galanti (Middleweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.1699999842 | $1.29 |
| 09-20 04:11 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $8.46 |
| 09-20 03:11 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 02:20 | UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2 | $3.58 |
| 07-10 09:31 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.329999996 | $45.00 |
| 03-08 02:21 | UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 03-07 06:18 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 03-07 06:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.239999856 | $0.98 |
| 03-05 06:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4790049524 | $0.97 |
| 03-05 06:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1238094165 | $0.99 |
| 03-05 04:13 | Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 03-05 04:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.519004942 | $0.97 |
| 03-05 03:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $0.97 |
| 03-05 02:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6390047619 | $0.97 |